AWIS Frost Update for North Carolina, MD, VA, SC, GA and KY (5pm, Friday, March 16, 2018)

— Written By Barclay Poling
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Fig. 1. Clyde Gurosik sent this photo of his Camarosa crop on March 12th – he is located in N. Augusta, SC. He wrote, “…Camarosa cut-off plants…should begin production by 3/23/18 and be in HIGH COTTON before Easter and Masters week.
Total cold protection has been with overhead irrigation protection. No row covers were ever deployed, as labor wasn’t available to perform necessary, desired “TIMELY REMOVALS”!! Rock bags were deployed, so covers could be, IF a “CLIPPER” was expected.”

Good afternoon,

I just got through reading Mark’s terrific update from yesterday – nice work!

Mark provided a very useful set of instructions (with great graphics) on using the CRONOS system – not only for NC, but other states as well.

I am also pleased to see how much attention Mark is giving to wind speeds in most all of his advisories! I recall Clyde Gurosik saying to me not too long ago how ultra-critical it is to have good wind speed information in REAL TIME – in case you are interested this is the type of Real Time Graphical information Clyde is getting from the Clarks Hill-SC weather station Georgia Weather – Automated Environmental Monitoring Network Page

NC Grower emphasizes “Know Your Location.”  Mark and I received this note from Scot Luton today:

“Good morning from Roper,NC. I just wanted to share how varied temps can be here up Backwoods. SkyBit called for canopy of 39 degrees and an air temp of 42. AWIS called for a minimum air temp of 42 degrees for Edenton,NC and 37 degrees for Ahoskie,NC. I am also a big fan of CRONOS and I am about 5 miles from the ECONET site on the Tidewater Research Station ,Plymouth,NC. The temp there at 6 a.m. was 45.9 degrees at 2m and the wind was 5.9 mph. At 1500 Backwoods RD Roper,NC [home] it was34.5 degrees at eye level,31 degrees at canopy level and calm. Frost was forming on the covers and if we had not been covered I would have started irrigation. I can understand why new growers get confused about forecast.We have been raising strawberries here since 1973.Daddy bought the irrigation system we still use in1973 for frost protection.A lot of things have changed since we planted the first strawberry here,but one thing has remained constant, Daddy still says this is just a cold hole. I guess if there’s a lesson in all this rambling it would be KNOW YOUR LOCATION.                                     Scot Luton       Roper,NC

Fig. 2. Min Temp Map for Saturday morning, 3/17

10-DAY DETAILED HOURLY WEATHER FORECASTS
Ahoskie-Tri-Cou Albemarle_AP Andrews Asheboro
Asheville_Munic Beaufort-Michae Boone_NC Burlington-Burl
Cape_Hatteras_AG Chapel_Hill-Hor Charlotte Cherry_Point
Clinton_NC Concord_NC Currituck_NC Edenton-Northea
Elizabeth_City Elizabethtown_NC Erwin-Harnett_C Fayetteville_AP
Fort_Bragg/Simm Franklin/Macon_C Gastonia-Gaston Goldsboro_AFB
Goldsboro_NC Greensboro Greenville_AP_NC Hickory
Jacksonville Jacksonville_(A Jefferson_AP_NC Kenansville-Dup
Kill_Devil_Hills Kinston_AP Lexington-David Lincolnton_AP
Louisburg_NC Lumberton_AP_NC Mackall_AAF Manteo/Dare_Co
Maxton Mcalf_Bogue_Fiel Monroe_AP_NC Morganton-Morga
Mount_Airy-Moun New_Bern North_Wilkesbor Oxford_NC
Piney_Island_Bom Pope_AFB Raleigh-Durham Reidsville_AP
Roanoke_Rap_AP Roanoke_Rapids_R Rockingham_NC Rocky_Mount-Wils
Roxboro_AP Rutherfordton Salisbury-Rowan Sanford_NC
Shelby_AP_NC Smithfield_AP Southern_Pines Southport_NC
Statesville-Sta Tarboro_AP Wadesboro_AP Washington-Warr
Whiteville_NC Wilmington_AP_NC Winston-Salem

AWIS Weather Services, Inc. North Carolina Frost/Freeze Forecast
Produced at  307 p.m. CDT on Fri Mar 16 2018

... Forecast for Tonight ... Northeast NC Coast                      
Currituck/Camden/Pasquotank/Tyrrell Counties      

**** FREEZE COLD LOCATIONS  ****
****  FROST LIKELY  ****

Lowest Temperatures:      31 - 39
Elizabeth_City Min          31 
Durations at/below 32:     0 -  2
Range Dewpoint Temps:     18 - 37
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     31 - 44
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:   N  4     Long Periods of Calm 
AVG Sky Condition:     Partly Cloudy

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  03/18/18  03/19/18  03/20/18  03/21/18  03/22/18  03/23/18
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   37 - 45   34 - 44   48 - 54   45 - 51   34 - 40   32 - 40
--------

East Central/SE NC Coast                
Carteret/Pamlico Counties                         

**** NEAR FREEZING COLD LOCATIONS  ****
****  FROST LIKELY  ****

Lowest Temperatures:      35 - 41
Morehead_City Min           41 
Range Dewpoint Temps:     24 - 39
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     39 - 47
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NW  4     Long Periods of Calm 
AVG Sky Condition:     Partly Cloudy

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  03/18/18  03/19/18  03/20/18  03/21/18  03/22/18  03/23/18
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   46 - 49   38 - 43   52 - 55   45 - 53   35 - 39   34 - 37
--------

Southeast NC                            
NWS FORECAST ZONES 87-90,96-101                   
** PATCHY FROST COLDEST LOCATIONS **

Lowest Temperatures:      36 - 45
Elizabethtown Min           41 
Range Dewpoint Temps:     23 - 44
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     41 - 49
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NE  4     Long Periods of Calm 
AVG Sky Condition:     Partly Cloudy

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  03/18/18  03/19/18  03/20/18  03/21/18  03/22/18  03/23/18
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   46 - 51   41 - 47   52 - 57   43 - 51   36 - 40   32 - 36
--------

North-Central NC                        
Franklin County Area                              

**** FREEZE COLD LOCATIONS  ****
**** LITTLE/NO FROST DUE TO DRY AIR **** 

Lowest Temperatures:      32 - 41
Louisburg Min               33 
Durations at/below 32:     0 -  1
Range Dewpoint Temps:     12 - 26
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     31 - 40
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NW  3     Long Periods of Calm 
AVG Sky Condition:     Partly Cloudy

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  03/18/18  03/19/18  03/20/18  03/21/18  03/22/18  03/23/18
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   39 - 48   37 - 47   43 - 52   40 - 48   31 - 38   29 - 35
--------

North/Central NC                        
Alamance County Area                              

**** NEAR FREEZING COLD LOCATIONS  ****
**** LITTLE/NO FROST DUE TO DRY AIR **** 

Lowest Temperatures:      35 - 40
Graham_AG Min               37 
Range Dewpoint Temps:     18 - 26
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     33 - 40
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NW  3     Long Periods of Calm 
AVG Sky Condition:     Partly Cloudy

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  03/18/18  03/19/18  03/20/18  03/21/18  03/22/18  03/23/18
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   42 - 48   42 - 47   45 - 50   42 - 47   33 - 38   30 - 35
--------

South/Central NC                        
Richmond County Area                              
**** LITTLE/NO FROST DUE TO DRY AIR **** 

Lowest Temperatures:      38 - 43
Ellerbe Min                 41 
Range Dewpoint Temps:     23 - 39
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     41 - 46
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NW  5     Long Periods of Calm 
AVG Sky Condition:     Mostly Cloudy

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  03/18/18  03/19/18  03/20/18  03/21/18  03/22/18  03/23/18
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   47 - 49   42 - 46   45 - 54   40 - 47   33 - 38   31 - 35
--------

Interior/EC-SE NC                       
Wayne County Area                                 

**** NEAR FREEZING COLD LOCATIONS  ****
****  FROST LIKELY  ****

Lowest Temperatures:      34 - 40
Goldsboro_AG Min            38 
Range Dewpoint Temps:     21 - 40
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     41 - 43
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NW  3     Long Periods of Calm 
AVG Sky Condition:     Partly Cloudy

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  03/18/18  03/19/18  03/20/18  03/21/18  03/22/18  03/23/18
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   43 - 48   37 - 43   50 - 55   43 - 52   34 - 38   32 - 35
--------

For more detailed information visit www.awis.com or call 888-798-9955. Copyright 2018 AWIS Weather Services, Inc. All rights reserved. 

Maryland

Fig. 3. AWIS Minimums for MD and Mid-Atlantic (includes VA)

10-DAY DETAILED HOURLY WEATHER FORECASTS FOR MD

Aberdeen Andrews_AFB Annapolis_Naval Baltimore_Sci_Ce
Baltimore/Wash Cambridge/Dorche College_Park_AP Cumberland_AP
Easton_MD Fort_Meade Frederick_MD Gaithersburg_AP
Hagerstown_AP Leonardtown Middle_River Oakland_MD_AP
Ocean_City_AP Patuxent_River Salisbury Stevensville_AP
St_Inigoes/Webst Washington_DC_AP Westminster_AP

Virginia

Note from Lowell Yoder in Rustburg, VA

Howdy sir. No, we actually aren’t nearly as advanced as many of the folks to our south and east. You can find some scattered blooms on   some sweet Charlie’s and a rare one on the chandlers. Most of the sweet Charlie’s have buds emerged from the crown. My chandlers mostly have buds right at the top of the crown or still inside. I have all my sweet Charlie’s and Albions covered and have for the last week and a half trying to push them. I covered half of my chandlers over the weekend but the other half remain uncovered. Hoping to stagger them some. Half of my chandlers were only covered a month or so through the harshest winter weather.It’s easy to get antsy when I see the pictures of blooms from North Carolina and try to rush things. But with the weather we’ve had and some still to go I’m glad we’re no further along then we are. It’s not a sprint but a marathon. 😁

Fig. 4. Sweet Charlie on March 14th in Rustburg, VA (near Lynchburg)

Fig. 6. Another Sweet Charlie plant

10-DAY DETAILED HOURLY WEATHER FORECASTS (VA)

Abingdon Ashland_VA Charlottesville Chesapeake-Ches
Culpeper Danville Dublin/New_Riv Emporia_VA
Farmville Fentress_Naval_A Fort_Belvoir/Da Fort_Eustis/Fel
Franklin/J_B_Ro Hillsville Hot_Springs/Ing Jonesville_AP
Langley_AFB Leesburg/Godfre Louisa-Louisa_C Lynchburg
Manassas_Muni(A Marion/Wythev Martinsville Mecklenburg/Bru
Melfa/Accomack Newport_News Norfolk_Hampton_ Norfolk_NAS
Norfolk_VA Oceana Orange_VA Petersburg_(AWO
Quantico Richlands_AP Richlands_VA Richmond
Richmond_Chester Roanoke Shannon_Arpt Stafford_AP_VA
Staunton-Shenan Suffolk-Suffolk Tappahannock_AP Virginia_Tech_A
Wakefield_AP Wallops_Island Warrenton_Fauqui Washington_Dulle
West_Point_VA Williamsburg_VA Winchester_Rgnl Wise/Lonesome_P

South Carolina

Eric Hunter, Easley, SC, wrote on 3/14: The winds have been horrible here for the past few days. So far everything is coming through the cold pretty good. We’ve had lows in the mid 20s.

Note written by Clyde Gurosik on 3/14 Clydes note 3:14

10-DAY DETAILED HOURLY WEATHER FORECASTS

Aiken_AP Anderson_Co_Air Barnwell_AP Beaufort_Cnty_AP
Beaufort_SC Bennettsville_Je Camden_AP Charleston_Exec_
Charleston_Muni Cheraw_AP Chester_AP Clemson-Clemson
Columbia-Columb Columbia/McEnti Columbia_Metro Conway_AP
Darlington Florence_SC Georgetown_AP_SC Greenville_Donal
Greenville_Down Greenville-Spart Greenwood-Green Hartsville_AP
Hilton_Head_AP Kingstree_AP Lancaster-McWhir Laurens_AP
Manning_AP Marion_AP_SC Moncks_Corner_AP Mount_Pleasant_A
Myrtle_Beach Newberry_AP North_Myrtle_Be Orangeburg-Oran
Pickens_AP Rock_Hill Spartanburg_Down Summerville_AP
Sumter_AP Sumter_SC Walterboro_AP Winnsboro_AP

Georgia – looking pretty safe! GA Frost Forecast

10-DAY DETAILED HOURLY WEATHER FORECASTS

Albany_Municipa Alma/Bacon_Co Americus_AP Athens_Municipa
Atlanta/DeKalb Atlanta/Fulton Atlanta_Intl_Ar Atlanta_Paulding
Augusta/Bush_Fi Augusta_Daniel_F Bainbridge_GA Blakely_AP
Brunswick_GA Brunswick/Glync Canton_GA Carrollton_AP
Cartersville_AP Claxton_AP Columbus_GA Covington_GA_AP
Dalton-Dalton_M Douglas_Muni Dublin/WHBarron Fitzgerald_AP
Fort_Benning Ft_Stewart/Wrig Gainesville_AP_G Greensboro_GA
Homerville_AP Hunter_(AAF) Jesup_AP La_Grange
Lakeland Lawrenceville_AP Macon_AP Marietta
Marietta/Cobb Milledgeville_AP Moultrie_Muni_AP Newnan-Newnan_C
Peachtree_City Rome_GA Savannah Statesboro_GA
Swainsboro_AP Sylvania_AP_GA Thomaston_AP Thomasville_AP
Thomson_GA Tifton_AP Valdosta Valdosta/Moody
Vidalia Warner_Robins_A Washington_GA Washington_GA
Waycross_AP Winder_AP

Kentucky KY Frost Forecast Tonight

10-DAY DETAILED HOURLY WEATHER FORECASTS

Bowling_Green Covington Danville-Powell_ Fort_Campbell
Fort_Knox/Godma Frankfort_AP Glasgow_KY Henderson_City
Jackson_KY Lexington_KY London_Corbin Louisville_AP
Louisville/Bowm Middlesboro_AP Monticello_KY_AP Murray_AP
Owensboro_AP Paducah Richmond_Madison Somerset(AWOS)

Have a good evening!